Republican pollster Frank Luntz lately instructed Fox Information’ “Media Buzz” that the credibility of his occupation has been irreversibly broken after President Trump outperformed polls for a second straight presidential election, however nothing could possibly be farther from the reality.
Whereas the margin of the “predicted” Joe Biden victory was in lots of instances greater than the precise final result (roughly 4% or 7 million), no pollster – together with the Republican-leaning Rasmussen Group – had President Trump profitable. Actually, the final printed ballot on Nov. 3, by IBD/TIPP, had the race referred to as by the precise remaining final result.
As a nationwide pollster based mostly in Buffalo, we labored in key battleground states like Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In every of these states, our outcomes had been both precisely what the ultimate final result confirmed or inside 1-2% of the ultimate final result. I’m assured there have been a whole lot of different pollsters who supplied the identical sort of correct knowledge to their purchasers.
Whereas the information media and on-line websites like Actual Clear Politics had been reporting the outcomes of 10-15 pollsters who selected to publish their outcomes, the opposite 99%+ had been offering correct and insightful polling knowledge to our statewide, congressional and state legislative purchasers whose races had been as essential to them because the race for president was for Biden and Trump. These had been the polls that helped congressional Republicans achieve seats, and Republican state legislators throughout the nation make substantial positive aspects regardless of the result of the presidential election.